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Google and Yahoo! have announced a non-exclusive agreement to run Google ads alongside Yahoo! search results. The usual suspects are ginning up to demand antitrust scrutiny, and I’m not persuaded. One self-identified “consumer” group sent me a release which says:

Google influences what consumers see in terms of advertising and search ranking, which lead consumers to click ahead in ways that benefit Google, its products and its sponsors. According to Steve Pociask, president of the American Consumer Institute, “[Google’s] dominance makes it harder for small firms to enter the market and differentiate themselves.” He adds, “the Justice Department should now realize that it’s dealing with what is essentially a monopoly and, without strong action, consumers will lose choice, differentiation and innovation for years to come.”

This argument doesn’t make sense, and it doesn’t make the case for antitrust scrutiny of the deal.
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Americans have a love-hate relationship with their cellphones.   Consumers have adopted wireless telephony with a passion — with over 250 million subscriptions at last count.  Many would rather venture out without their pants than without their phones.  Yet,  at the same time,  Americans seem deeply suspicious of the little devices,  perhaps believing that anything this convenient must be harmful.  

The latest case in point:  a video circulating on the net purportedly showing how radiation from cellphones can pop popcorn.   Posted on youtube and circulated endlessly by email, the video has been viewed millions of times.  It appears to to be an amateur recording made in someone’s living room, with a group of friends to put three cellphones in a circle around some popcorn kernels, then call them — making the phones ring and the popcorn pop to much merriment.

The unspoken message:  if these gizmos can explode a kernal of corn, what are they doing to your brain?

The problem though is that the whole thing is a hoax.   A total fabrication.  As it turns out, the radiation from even three cellphones isn’t even enough to warm up corn, never mind pop it.  As one commenter on the video put it:  “A 1 kilowatt microwave takes around one minute to pop its first kernel, and that’s in a closed environment. A cell phone transmitter operates from 0.1 to 1 watt, but this video shows these kernels popping almost immediately.”

And I’m not an electrical engineer, but I suspect that having the phones ring doesn’t change the equation much.

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Here are some thoughts that might become a paper. Feedback would be much appreciated.

http://www.youtube.com/v/WyNzC9W2C8Q&hl=en

Public choice theory can be summarized in four words: concentrated benefits, dispersed costs. Your share of the bill for the Bridge to Nowhere might be 5¢—much less than even the postage needed to write your member of Congress—but the developer and the local community stand to gain millions, which pays for lots of stamps. The few who will benefit from the transfer have an easy time organizing to lobby for it, while a group as diverse and dispersed as taxpayers face what Mancur Olson called a collective action problem. That is, the costs of organizing large groups are greater than the possible gain, and then there’s always the free-rider problem. This is the status quo and the source of much pessimism.

Here is, perhaps, cause for optimism: social media has pushed down, and continues to push down, the cost of organizing. If the cost can be pushed down far enough, it’s conceivable that the collective action problem could be solved. (That’s a thesis in case you hadn’t noticed.)

In his wonderful book, Here Comes Everybody, Clay Shirky tells the tale of two flights that where stranded at airports with the passengers subjected to terrible conditions. One incident happened in 1999, and the other almost identical incident happened in 2007. The former became a press blip, while the latter led to congressional reform of passenger rights. The difference, Shirky points out, is that the second event happened after the technology was in place to make it trivial for the passengers who had been in similar situations to find one another and organize into a cohesive group.

There seem to be two ways to get the attention of Congress: money or members. The AARP is the most effective lobby in town because it has the backing of 38 million members. Like the AAA, unions, and other large lobbies, the AARP solves the collective action problem by offering its members benefits—beyond representation in Washington—that can actually be captured by the individual. (What Olson called a “separate and selective incentive.”) Wikipedia and Linux and the rest offer selective incentives, but they also lower the costs of organization and participation dramatically. Would it be possible for an ad hoc Facebook group to rival a traditional lobby? I don’t know. Maybe we should try. Continue reading →

Over at Techdirt, Mike Masnick has a great post talking about my Cato Unbound essay on the future of copyright. He thinks I’m proposing a step in the right direction, but that I don’t go far enough:

I’m still not convinced that the restrictions are necessary even for commercial use. Part of the problem is that the distinction between “personal use” and “commercial use” is extremely blurry. Is my personal blog “personal” or “commercial” if I put Google ads on it? What if I don’t have ads, but use it to get a job or promote my company? Commercial use and personal use are not clear cut.

This is a good opportunity to illustrate the narrowness of what I’m suggesting: yes, if you put up a website with old Golden Girls episodes and you stuck ads alongside them, you’d be opening yourself up to a lawsuit. The non-commercial use exception would only apply in cases such as using a peer-to-peer file sharing program where there was clearly no commercial intent.

However, it’s important to emphasize that this would be an addition to, not a substitute for, fair use. If you used a copyrighted work in a way that would be fair use under current precedents, it would continue to be fair use under the regime I’m suggesting even if it were done for commercial use. The current law on fair use and contributory liability— Sony, Arriba Soft, Grokster, and the rest—would continue to apply. If your use was fair, or if your technology had a “substantial non-infringing use” under Sony, or if you qualified for the DMCA safe harbor, all of those defenses would remain available to you.

There is admittedly some fuzziness in the concept of commercial use, but I think it’s clearly a lot less fuzzy than the four-factor test that currently governs fair use. All I’m suggesting is adding an additional step: first the courts decide if a use is commercial or non-commercial. If non-commercial, that would be the end of the analysis and the defendant would be not guilty. If commercial, the courts would then proceed to consider other defenses, including fair use and the DMCA safe harbor.

Mike’s other substantive criticism is that I don’t go far enough:

if someone else is able to do something commercially valuable with my content, why should that be a problem? If anything, that should be encouraged — and the end result will often be that it makes the original content more valuable. Google uses fair use defenses to protect itself from copyright infringement charges, but it’s ridiculous to think that anyone is even complaining, since Google makes their content easier to find. And Google is most certainly a commercial entity. Having someone else do something commercial with content is a good way to help increase the value of that content, which is likely to flow back to the original creator anyway.

I’m sympathetic to this argument in many cases. He’s clearly right about most of the things Google does. Google News, Google Book Search, and the rest are pretty clearly not harming the market for the copyrighted works they use, and may even be enhancing their value. However, I don’t think this is the case across the board. Consider movie theaters. Mike correctly notes that going to the movies is as much about the experience as it is about the movie itself, which suggests that peer-to-peer file sharing won’t destroy the market for movie tickets. However, in a world with no copyright, I think you’d quickly see a network of digital movie theaters that would dramatically erode Hollywood’s ticket revenues by showing Hollywood movies without sending any ticket revenues back to the studio that made the movie. Revenues wouldn’t drop to zero—it would still be possible to generate some revenue the first few days, before the movie had leaked to the pirate theaters—but I can’t see how the legalization of pirate theaters would work to Hollywood’s benefit.

It’s true that the end result of unauthorized copying will often be to make the original content more valuable. But if that’s the case, then the use is likely to already fall under fair use. The question is what to do in those cases where unauthorized copying does harm the market for the original. I agree with Mike that this is a less common case than is commonly supposed. But it’s not a null set, and when it happens, I think it’s entirely legitimate for copyright law to intervene.

Lest any of us forget how lucky we are to live in a country where our speech rights are (largely) protected from oppressive government laws… Adam Liptak of the New York Times reminds us today in a wonderful front-page article: “Unlike Others, U.S. Defends Freedom to Offend in Speech.”

“I know a smart business decision when I see one — choosing open standards is a very smart business decision indeed. No citizen or company should be forced or encouraged to choose a closed technology over an open one.”

The above proclamation is from Neelie Kroes, the EU’s Competition Commissioner, as reported in the New York Times. And it seems odd–perhaps even an abuse of the position–for a regulator charged with enforcing competition rules to advocate for one business model over another.

First of all, the world is not so simple as “open” or “closed.” Most software has both open and closed elements, and thus falls along a linear spectrum of being more open or more closed (or proprietary). But politicians, we know, will often eschew nuance and speak in simple rhetoric. And what rhetoric it is!  No citizen should be forced or ENCOURAGED to choose a “closed technology” — this is more befitting of the Free Software Foundation or any NGO, just not a government’s chief antitrust official.

On a related point, I’d like to refer you to a blog post by Noah Clements, who is a guest on the ACT blog. He’s an attorney and former computer programmer, and he recently discussed why governments should not choose technology standards:

First, it is simply too easy to bet on the wrong horse.  A prominent developer, John Sowa, summarized this idea as the “law of standards”:  “Whenever a major organization develops a new system as an official standard for X, the primary result is the widespread adoption of some simpler system as a de facto standard for X.” Second, and a point that flows from the first, even when you choose the best option available, that option will not be the best for long, nor will it be the best solution for all problems.

I invite you to read the rest of his post.

I haven’t had a chance to interview Tim yet, but I assume he has ceased posting Bea Arthur porn on Usenet (as reported by PJ) because of several major ISPs’ capitulation to the New York Attorney General and agreement to cut off access to Usenet. Declan McCullagh has the most thought-through write-up.

I appeared on the BBC early yesterday morning (BBC-time) to discuss concerns with this. I didn’t know about Tim’s draconian action or I surely would have raised it as an example of the unfortunate fall-out from the preemptive censorship some ISPs have agreed to at the behest of the AG.

The Arizona legislature has passed a bill to refuse participation in the REAL ID Act. The House vote was 51 to 1.

Today I released a press statement about the Federal Communications Commission’s hearing today on early termination fees for customers who cancel their mobile phone, cable or Internet service contracts early. Quickly after the statement was released, I got reasoned response from Ken Werner, a Senior Analyst at Insight Media.

As reasoned as Ken’s response was, however, it just doesn’t make much sense. Ken argues that, ” bundling of phone and wireless services does not enhance competition; it suppresses it.” He goes on to say that “Unbundling of phone and service sales would create a far more varied and vibrant set of offerings.”

But this simply isn’t true. By forcing unbundling—that means banning subsidized phones—we’re taking away consumer choice. Being able to buy a phone outright and then purchase a plan on a month-to-month but if Ken is right and “Google, the Android open platform, the Open Handset Alliance, and (maybe) even Verizon are moving in that direction,” then there is no reason to force a no-contract model on the wireless industry.

The way to true offer a “more varied and vibrant set of offerings” is to allow the market to continue to operate as it is. Because of exceptional hardware like the iPhone, Ken is likely right that Verizon and other carriers will open up to selling plans separately from phones, but consumers should still be able to buy basic phones that are subsidized through long-term phone plan commitments. Banning the latter option decreases choice, rather than expanding it as Ken claims.

It may take times for American business models to shift, but ultimately it will result in more choice than markets like Europe, where choice is limited by contract negotiation. To say that banning contract options will increase the variety of options is simply a contradiction in terms.

Copyright Podcast

by on June 11, 2008 · 25 comments

I neglected to mention that I’m on Cato’s Daily Podcast today discussing the themes of my copyright essay. Just to be clear, the complete home-recorded Golden Girls VHS collection Caleb references is purely hypothetical. I don’t collect copyright-infringing videos, and if I did they wouldn’t be on VHS, nor would they consist of Golden Girls re-runs.

Update: I guess it’s possible people would have liked a link