Over at Technology 360, Dennis Haarsager points out that there’s probably too much gloom-and-doom out there in the blogosphere regarding the future of various media platforms. He did phrase searches “to see how the media stacked up in the death department.” He got back the following results:
> “death of television”, 13,000 results
> “death of TV”, 28,200 results
> “death of radio”, 227,000 results
> “death of newspapers”, 331,000 results
> “death of blogs”, “death of the blogs”, “death of the blog”, 81,400 results
> “death of the web”, 215,000 results
> “death of the net”, 746,000 results
> “death of the internet”, 1,910,000 results
No doubt—as Mark Twain might have said—the rumors of the death of media have been greatly exaggerated. And, as Mike Mansick of TechDirt points out, not all papers or media outlets are facing gloom and doom scenarios.
Nonetheless, many traditional media sectors and providers do find themselves in troubled waters today as tsunami of creative destruction tears through their markets. In our new “Media Metrics” report, Grant Eskelsen and I show how two sectors in particular—radio broadcasting and newspapers—are getting hammered particularly hard by a sort of “media perfect storm”:
* loss of protected markets or “protected scarcity” = there’s just no guaranteed audience anymore
* rapid technological change = the way media is created and transmitted has been completely transformed
* massive inflow of new competitors / platforms = no way to stop the deluge of new voices, including user-generated content
* loss of consumer confidence and allegiance = people have plenty of other places to turn their attention
* loss of advertiser confidence and allegiance = advertisers have plenty of other places to promote their goods and services (including direct-to-consumer appeals and ‘word-of-mouth’ marketing efforts)
* loss of investor confidence and allegiance = shareholders have lots of other places to invest their capital today
The results have been particularly grim for newspaper in recent months as various reports have noted.
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