August 2007

I would never expect a teenage beauty queen to be a rocket scientist, but one would hope for better than this…

In July, I mentioned the interesting comparison chart that Verizon’s Link Hoewing put together comparing contracts, competition, coverage, prices, new services, and more in both the U.S. and European cellular markets.

If you’re interested in this subject, there’s a new report out by the American Consumer Institute entitled “Comparison of Structure, Conduct and Performance: U.S. versus Europe’s Wireless Markets.” The report finds that:

* The U.S. wireless market offers more choice and is less concentrated than any Western country’s wireless market;
* U.S. consumers use an average of 800 wireless minutes per month, while most European consumers use less that 200 minutes per month;
* U.S. wireless prices are the lowest in the world, with the exception of Hong Kong; and
* The combination of higher usage at lower prices presents compelling evidence that the overall consumer welfare derived from wireless service is higher in the U.S. than internationally.

“In summary, a comparison of international statistics suggests that the U.S. wireless market, in fact, leads its European counterparts, and the U.S. wireless market, compared to Europe, appears to be more competitive and vibrant. The contention that concentration leads to higher prices, lower usage and decreasing consumer welfare does not appear to be a U.S. problem, and furthermore, the contention that the U.S. lags the European market and needs some regulatory remedy is without empirical merit.”

Read the whole thing here.

PFF’s 2007 “Aspen Summit” featured some amazing panels and keynote addresses, and now they have all been posted online. Here are some of the highlights:

* Eric Schmidt, Chairman & CEO, Google Inc., Chairman’s Dinner keynote address
* Laurence H. Tribe, Carl M. Loeb University Professor, Harvard Law School, keynote address on “Freedom of Speech and Press in the 21st Century: New Technology Meets Old Constitutionalism”
* Dale W. Jorgenson, Samuel W. Morris University Professor of Economics, Harvard University keynote address on “Whatever Happened to the New Economy?”

* panel on telecom policy / Net neutrality
* panel on parental controls and online child safety efforts
* panel on copyright and content deals
* panel on patent reform

When more players enter the market for expressive works, an author faces both new competitors and new customers. What affect does that have on copyright’s power to stimulate authorship? Assume, both for the sake of simplicity and because it seems reasonable, that the ratio of authors/consumers holds steady. I posit that copyright will in that event offer greater rewards for authorship. Allow me to explain, here with a parable, and in a later post with some graphs.

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Read in the comments to Yglesias’s blog:

Going to popular/mass publication journalist-written books for an introduction to a country is a bit like taking Newtonian physics: it will get you some of the basic generalizations, but once you get more in depth you realize how wrong your introduction was.

I wonder if the person who wrote this actually took Newtonian physics. My understanding was that under most conditions people encounter in their day-to-day lives (i.e. you’re moving significantly slower than the speed of light and you’re larger than an electron and smaller than a black hole) Newtonian mechanics are quite accurate. I took several physics classes and I don’t remember the class where the professor said “OK class, that F=ma thing? We were lying about that.”

We’ve done a lot of writing about Internet gambling issues here at the TLF over the years. (Complete archives here). One of the things that always intrigues me about these debates is how passionate some policymakers can get about the supposed “evils” of private online gambling even though many of them support state-run lotteries.

What got me thinking about this again was an article in Sunday’s Washington Post entitled, “Officials Laud D.C. Lottery as Success.” The D.C. Lottery turns 25 this week and, in the article, one local lawmaker after another celebrates the fact that more than $1.4 billion has been generated by the lottery for the city treasury. “Every time you buy a lottery ticket, the city wins,” says the current DC Lottery director. And former DC mayor Marion Barry, who currently serves as a DC council member, argues that, “Nobody makes anybody play the lottery… It’s a voluntary contribution to the D.C. treasury. It was a great vision.”

OK, so what’s wrong with people playing for their own enjoyment? Nobody makes anyone play private games of chance either. But because the money goes to private interests instead of the State, apparently it’s immoral and “evil.” Stupid.

Another IPI Piracy Study

by on August 25, 2007 · 6 comments

When the Institute for Policy Innovation published a study purporting to show the harms of movie piracy to the United States economy, I wrote a post critiquing it that was unnecessarily vituperative. After further reflection, I posted a follow-up post apologizing for the tone of that post. IPI president Tom Giovanetti apparently didn’t find my apology adequate, because he sent letters to the president and several board members of the Show-Me Institute, where I was employed at the time, seeking to have me reprimanded. Thankfully, they didn’t consider my post to be a firing offense.

I’d like to avoid repeating that experience, so I’m going to be a lot more polite in my analysis of IPI’s latest study, this one on music piracy. Unfortunately, the new paper exhibits the same methodological defects as the previous study, and introduces some new problems as well. The gory details are below the fold.

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IP: An Odd Monopoly

by on August 25, 2007 · 10 comments

When economists draw graphs to describe monopolies, they typically represent both average revenue (i.e., price) and aggregate demand with a single line. Why? Because they assume that, by dint of revealed preference theory, sales of a good reveal the demand for it, and that a monopolist, by definition, alone satisfies the demand for a particular good. See figure one, below.

I question, though, whether that sort of graph does an adequate job of describing the sorts of monopolies protected by copyrights and patents. Because the law does not protect them perfectly, those sorts of “intellectual privilege” (the term I advocate in lieu of “intellectual property”) suffer unremunerated uses. Some such uses happen through infringement, such as street corner sales of pirated DVDs. Others happen by dint of special legislative exceptions, such as the unlicensed public performances of musical works allowed to certain small commercial retail establishments.

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Over at Huffington Post, Timothy Karr claims that “One attendee — a member of the Darwin-challenged Discovery Institute — sought to argue that the Internet be completely free of regulation” during the question and answers following Google Chairman and CEO Eric Schmidt’s address to the Progress & Freedom Foundation’s Aspen Summit. That would be me. Actually, I make no such argument. There is a place for antitrust enforcement (provided it aims to protect competition, not competitors) and consumer protection. I draw the line at economic regulation, or competition policy, which tries to ensure that everyone who can afford to hire a lobbyist profits and no one who can afford to hire a lobbyist fails in the marketplace.

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WARNING: The PFF Aspen Summitt served to both educate and inspire me, so expect a flurry of blog posts over the next few days.

While reviewing my notes during my 24 hour trek back to DC (most of which involved sitting in the Denver airport) I realized that Eric Schmidt said a lot of interesting things despite my intitial impression that his speech was rather devoid of content. Unfortunately for Dr. Schmidt, most of my conclusions are rather critical.

During the middle of his remarks, Schmidt pointed out that our web-powered world changes conventional thinking about business models and industry integration. In the past, Schmidt observed, vertical integration–buying up assets like, mines, railroads, and mills–cut costs by allowing one company to take a good from raw material to finished consumer good, without the transaction costs of swapping ownership throughout the process.

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