Wireless & Spectrum Policy

Better late than never, here are my thoughts on the FCC’s auction for the D Block public safety band. There was only one bid for the block, Frontline Wireless to shut down, and some are even suggesting improprieties. Sadly, we’ve got a long way to go before we have an operating public safety network. Why did the D Block auction fail? I think at root the problem is that the FCC simply placed too many restrictions on the would-be licensee, and that’s something the FCC should keep in mind as it considers what to do next.

Under the D Block’s service rules the commercial licensee must come to an agreement with the Public Safety Spectrum Trust (which is the licensee for the adjacent public safety spectrum) about the details of the network to be built. If it doesn’t come to an agreement, the FCC can impose whatever requirements it sees fit on the licensee, and if the licensee surrenders its license or has it taken away, they must pay a forfeiture penalty that can run into the millions. Because there are no similar penalties for the non-profit PSST to come to agreement, this allows the PSST to basically dictate the terms of the network. Why would anyone bid for the privilege to be a part of that deal?

Sadly, Chairman Martin doesn’t seem to get this. He recently lamented the fate of the D Block:

“Did we get everything perfect in it? Obviously not because no one was willing to end up taking on that burden,” Martin conceded. “So, do I wish that someone was willing to take on that burden? Yes. And do we need to restructure it in such a way that someone is willing to take on that burden? Absolutely. But absent somebody else coming up with some idea to solve this, this is the only way to solve what’s really a public-safety crisis.”

Instead of expecting some selfless corporation to “take on the burden” of such a thankless deal, why not try instead to create a license aligned with the interests of both the private sector (profit) and public safety (cheap and interoperable communications solutions)? Here’s my recipe:

  1. Get rid of the PSST, a bureaucracy more than prone to capture that will do nothing but hold a commercial licensee hostage.
  2. Take the spectrum now held by the PSST and combine it with the D Block. Create two national licenses on the combined spectrum so as to inject competition and avoid a monopoly provider.
  3. Place public safety obligations on each of those licenses but allow the licensees to lease excess capacity. What sort of obligations? Obviously public safety should have priority, and leased access would only be secondary. Beyond that, the FCC could include minimum performance standards in the licenses to ensure that the networks are built to public safety standards without having to prescribe specific technologies or methods.
  4. Auction the licenses without reserve prices.

There are no doubt more than a few hurdles for such a plan to overcome, but I think it makes sense to allow market forces develop public safety networks. I’d love to hear any critiques of this idea. No doubt I’ll be submitting a comment to the inevitable rulemaking on this issue and it would help me to figure out the weaknesses of this scheme.

So this panel continues to applaud Europe & Asia on the issue of broadband, but is a lack of subsidy, neutrality, and public ownership/regulation really to blame for our lack of a 3rd (wireless) pipe.

Let’s do a little imagining to help think about the broadband landscape in America. The wired landscape is like a bustling city. Though franchising laws and other regulations keep building from going on as much as it might, the landscape is fairly well developed.




Then picture the wireless landscape. Because of the FCC’s iron grip on wireless allocation, this landscape has acres set aside for aging, archaic buildings from bygone eras while other narrow tracts are being feverishly developed with modern skyscrapers. But the most notable thing about this landscape are the brown fields. Mile after mile of land laying fallow and undeveloped.



I don’t know if this mental picture painting helps, but the point is that wireless 3rd pipes don’t arise or at least don’t arise in the quality we’d like because they aren’t allowed to. The FCC allocation system–though it now involves auctions–is a command and control central allocation system that resembles similar board that have existed in places like the USSR or the People’s Republic of China. The FCC is not too far away from a government board that allocates who gets a ton of pig iron this month or a shipment of aluminum next week.

Until wireless spectrum has no restrictions on use and can be bought and sold in a free market, we shouldn’t expect it to be all that efficient.

Side note: I’m trying to find some good policy papers that talk about what Korea actually does with spectrum, which I imagine is similar to the FCC. So far the only thing I have been able to Google is this presentation from Hyun-young Yoon of Seoul National University. It describes what sounds a lot like the FCC’s central planning regime, except that Korea doesn’t seem to have the auction component of the FCC, a reform introduced in 1994 that has eliminated the past practice of favorite picking or what what Hyun-young describes as a “rigid beauty contest.”

Speaking of, perhaps we ought to view subsidies in the same light we view the auction process. Eliminating FCC choice in who gets what spectrum eliminated a lot of corruption and spectrum has been arguably allocated more fairly and efficiently. Subsidies are a step backwards in that they would reintroduce favoritism, allowing government bureaucrats or perhaps Congress to choose who gets the millions in research grants.

That said, I’m interested in good papers that lay out how other countries allocate their spectrum. I know that New Zealand has privatized much of their airwaves with success, but are there other good examples? Please share in the comments section!

I’m sitting in a panel called “The Future of Wide-Area Public Broadband” and Jonathan Taplin, a Professor at USC Annenberg’s School for Communication, just made a point about wireless connectivity. He mentioned that in a class he was teaching a Korean student brought her phone to class–a phone made to work on networks in Seoul. She explained that she could watch 30 minute videos on the phone, seamlessly streaming while walking through the city or riding the subway. He went on to say that in the United States many municipalities are relying–or did rely–on a rather pathetic effort from Earthlink to build out wireless networks.



The problem, it seems, is that the United States doesn’t follow the policies of Korea. Those policies are can be summed up by one word: subsidize. Korea rents computers to poor families for what one questioner cited as $2 per month. This gets many people clamoring for connections, driving demand. I imagine that this demand doesn’t matter as much as it might otherwise were Korean wireless companies not also subsidized.

What’s curious to me is that no one has mentioned the other glaring difference between the U.S. and Korea. Seoul is a dense city–like a neutron star. There are 17,000 people for every square kilometer in Seoul. Back in the states, only Union City and West New York, both cities in New Jersey, have that density or greater. New York city is only 10,000 people per square kilometer–only about 60% of Seoul’s density.

If you look farther down the sheet of America’s most dense cities, you’ll notice that all but the top-five large cities have a density ranging from 1,000 to 6,000 people per square kilometer. With most U.S. large cities at best coming in at one third as dense as Korea’s capital it seems natural that the U.S. would have different approaches to wireless connectivity.

I’m all for sorting out the public policy differences and discussing what regulation help and hurt broadband deployment, but let’s be honest when we’re comparing apple to oranges–or in this case, supercities to plain, old cities.

One-time TLF blogger Brooke Oberwetter (no really, she posted here one time) fretted to me recently that there was no commentary here on the outcome of the recent 700 mhz spectrum auction. Here goes, Brooke:

The way I see it, the result shows that Google has arrived as a Washington player and rent-seeker. It masterfully used the regulatory process to bend the rules in its favor. Rather than buying the spectrum, it managed to convince the FCC to require any buyer to make use of the spectrum in a way that benefits Google.

The $billions in benefits Google’s owners may reap come at the cost of the relatively tiny sum it spent on PR and lobbying. It didn’t have to plunk down any of its big money on spectrum itself. Richard Whitt’s recent post phrased the outcome in terms of benefit to consumers, of course, but its as much self-congratulations for the rewards that will come to Google from his work.

Make no mistake, I believe that an open network will be a better network with more innovation and more interesting uses, but we could have had that same open network if Google had paid full price for the spectrum in an open auction. Instead, Google will reap excess returns from the encumbrance it got placed on the spectrum.

<mild derision>Well played, Google. Welcome to Washington.</mild derision>

Is increasing use of video likely to cause Internet delays? The New York Times today floats the theory that it might be.

But at least the article generously quotes a leading skeptic: Andrew Odlyzko, a Professor of Mathematics and Director of the Digital Technology Center and the Minnesota Supercomputing Institute at the University of Minnesota.

[Odlyzko] estimates that digital traffic on the global network is growing about 50 percent a year, in line with a recent analysis by Cisco Systems, the big network equipment maker.

That sounds like a daunting rate of growth. Yet the technology for handling Internet traffic is advancing at an impressive pace as well. The router computers for relaying data get faster, fiber optic transmission gets better and software for juggling data packets gets smarter.

“The 50 percent growth is high. It’s huge, but it basically corresponds to the improvements that technology is giving us,” said Professor Odlyzko, a former AT&T Labs researcher. Demand is not likely to overwhelm the Internet, he said.

Odlyzko will be in Arlington, Va., next Tuesday, March 18, giving a “Big Ideas About Information” lecture at the Information Economy Project at the George Mason University School of Law.

Back in 1999, when everyone was saying that the Internet was doubling every three months, or 1500 percent annual growth, Odlyzko was the voice of reason: the Internet was only growing at 100 percent per year.

In his “Big Ideas about Information” lecture next Tuesday, Professor Odlyzko will compare the Internet bubble of the turn of the century with the British Railway Mania of the 1840s, the greatest technology mania in history – up until the Dot.com bubble. In both cases, clear evidence indicated that financial instruments would crash.

The event, at 4 p.m., is the latest in a series sponsored by IEP, which is directed by Professor Tom Hazlett. (I serve as Assistant Director of the project.) Can’t make it to Arlington, Va., for the “Big Ideas” lecture? Join us remotely, by Webcast, or over the phone, at TalkShoe.

Congressman Ed Markey (D-Mass) has introduced legislation aimed at ridding the cell phone world of the much criticized practicies of phone subsidies, long-term contracts, and termination fees. In the name of contract “consistency” Markey’s bill mandates that cell companies offer alternative plans that contain no subsidy for the handset and plans that offer month-to-month service.

The bill contains a long section of “findings,” which are intended to point out what, from Rep. Markey’s perspective, are the illogical practices of cell phone providers. However, if you look at the issue of termination fees, you’ll find that Rep. Markey’s bill ignores the role of competition in decreasing costs to consumers and fails to take into account long-term investment in increasing nation-wide wireless capacity.

The bill claims that termination fees “Do not reflect the cost of recovering the monetary amount of a bundled mobile device or any other expenditure for customer acquisition.” The most glaring problem with this finding is that it’s already outed. Sprint, which is currently hemorrhaging money, instituted a new policy in November that allows customers to change plans without extending contracts and prorates termination fees. This came on the heels of similar announcements from Verizon and AT&T in October of last year. So, the bill’s $175 average termination fee figure is likely an incorrect one based on old policies.

But termination fees don’t just serve the purpose of cost recovery, they also provide an incentive for customers staying loyal to their wireless provider and giving these providers revenue predictability. With predictable revenues, it’s easier for cell phone network companies to get the financing they need to build the multi-billion dollar networks of tomorrow. Rep. Markey’s bill may save consumers in the short-term, but in the long run adding volatility to the marketplace will stem investment and slow the roll-out of 4G and Wi-Max networks.

We often talk about the unintended consequences of legislation in our work at CEI–this is a prime example of some very significant and costly unintended consequences that will ultimately hurt consumers and threatens to put America behind the curve on cell phone technology.

Rep. Markey’s bill also deals with wireless broadband, coverage maps, and spectrum efficiency. Topics that Ryan Radia and I will be addressing in future posts.

One of the curiousities of intellectual battles is the ability of the intelligentsia of one school to retrench and come back, using the vocabulary popularized by another set entirely to argue the opposite point. (A curiousity because one would hope that the relatively clever would steer clear of rhetorical devices in favor of clarity and making real progress towards understanding).

Free-marketers in the nineteenth century, then known as “liberals,” became popular with the working classes and the poor because of their support for the abolition of the Corn Laws and other benefits of free trade; economic interventionists tried to capitalize on this popularity by calling themselves “liberals,” and today the original reference of the term is obscured, particularly in the United States.

Another more complicated example: The success of free marketers in demonstrating that competition and choice serves consumers; offering empirical support for the fundamental point that contracts are a basic building block of a prosperous economic order. Today advocates of regulation build on this legacy by borrowing the language of consumer choice to attack the ordinary contract.

The Wall Street Journal Europe explores a variation on this argument concerning the iPhone. Kyle Wingfield notes, “Yes, consumers benefit from economic efficiencies. But it cannot be said that economic efficiencies are gained simply by creating circumstances that are attractive to consumers.” And goes on to make some interesting observations about the leftist allegiance to labor, rather in tension with their stance on consumers.

Continue reading →

847A8369-3817-4AEA-A541-5C418B349DA9.jpgIs Frontline Wireless having a Keyser Söze moment? After convincing the FCC to largely accept its plan for public safety spectrum in the 700 MHz band, the well-connected startup may be saying “poof,” and just like that, be gone. According to Jeffrey Silva in RCR Wireless:

The future of Frontline Wireless L.L.C., the Silicon Valley-backed and politically connected startup that spent months positioning itself to bid big in the upcoming 700 MHz auction, has suddenly become shrouded in mystery.

“Frontline is closed for business at this time. We have no further comment,” Frontline said in a statement.

Ars Technica has more as does MRT Magazine, but not much more since it’s all pretty mysterious. The most significant potential impact of the news, as MRT notes, is that “If no one bids on the D Block, the spectrum would be returned to the FCC, which could reauction the spectrum with different rules.” That could be a good or a bad thing depending on the new rules.

Anyone know anything else?

Commerce Secretary Carlos Gutierrez issued this statement on Friday:

The TV Converter Coupon Program opened as scheduled on January 1, and is off to a great start. Americans have begun requesting coupons that will help them get the converter boxes needed for when our television signals change on February 17, 2009. With these coupons, the federal government will defray $40 of the cost of an eligible converter, which is expected to cost between $50 and $70.

The demand for coupons is strong. We’ve taken requests from every state for nearly 1.9 million coupons from more than one million households.

The demand is strong? Really? For something that’s free? You’re kidding.

Let’s see, 1.9 million coupons requested at $40 a pop is $76 million of taxpayer money out the door in just four days. As Secretary Gutierrez says, “off to a great start” indeed. At this “great” pace it’s good to know the coupon fund totals $1 billion.

What are you waiting for? Get your piece of the American dream here.

According to this AP story, Rep. John Conyers, D-Mich., chairman of the House Judiciary Committee…

has expressed concern in a letter to Attorney General Michael B. Mukasey that the Justice Department may “rush through” an approval of Sirius Satellite Radio Inc.’s $5 billion purchase of its rival XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. [Conyers] also said he was “dismayed to learn” that Thomas O. Barnett, the head of the department’s antitrust division, may approve the deal “over the objections of department staff.” The Judiciary Committee oversees antitrust issues. Rep. Steve Cabot, an Ohio Republican, also signed the letter. The two members said they haven’t yet taken a position on the transaction, but urged Mukasey to “preserve your ability to personally participate in the department’s deliberations.”

Only in Washington would it be considered “rushed” to take a year to review a proposal. Absurd.