Tech Pork

Time for a quick reality check. The Federal Communications Commission regulates older media sectors and communications technologies: broadcast radio, broadcast TV, telephones, satellites, etc. These sectors and technologies are growing increasingly competitive and face myriad new, unregulated rivals. What, then, is wrong with this picture?
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Seriously, I just don’t get it. Why does the FCC’s budget keep growing without constraint? Why does it need $313 million and nearly 2,000 bureaucrats to regulate industries and technologies that could do just fine, thank you very much, without endless meddling from DC. It seems to me like all those unregulated rivals are doing just fine without the FCC serving as market nanny, so why not cut the flow of funds to the FCC for awhile and see what happens?

This agency needs to be put on a serious diet. There’s just no excuse for this level of spending in an era when the market is growing more competitive. Check out the entire FCC 2008 budget here if you are interested in their profligate spending habits.

(And just imagine how much more the agency will be spending once Net neutrality regulations get on the books!)

I’m getting a lot of calls from reporters this week asking about what the Democratic takeover means for technology policy issues and First Amendment matters. My answer on both counts: Not much.

On the free speech front, the results of this election will probably have very little effect. Democrats and Republicans are now birds of a feather on these matters. Democrats used to be considered the party of the First Amendment, but I have a hard time finding any defenders of the First Amendment left in that party. I spend as much time dealing with new speech regulations from Democrats like Hillary Clinton and Joe Lieberman as I do any Republican in Congress. Thus, I suspect that, despite the shift in power, Congress will continue pushing for more media and Internet regulation just as they have been for the past 10 years. It’s a never-ending cycle and the only competition left between the two parties is the race to see who can regulate faster and more extensively than the other.

On the communications and broadband regulatory front the differences may be a bit more pronounced between the parties, but not too much so. To try to get a better feel for what Democratic rule might bring us I thought I’d take a look at a few items in the “Innovation Agenda” they produced before the election. (It can be found online here and here is the PDF).

From what I see it here, it sounds like the Democrats believe that spending a lot of taxpayer dollars on federal pork projects is the best way to improve America’s technological competitiveness.

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Remember the digital TV converter box subsidy? Last July, the Department of Commerce released for comment some fairly sensible rules for administering the program, given the constraints set out by Congress.

The deadline for public comments was this Monday, and–to no one’s surprise–quite a few commenters wanted more money. The broadcasters and TV manufacturers, for instance, complained that the program would be limited to households that do not have cable TV. “No television left behind,” was the unstated theme, as they expressed concern over disconnected televisions in basements across America.

A coalition of retailers–including firms such as Wal-Mart, Best Buy and Circuit City–supported this position. They argued for “leaving such issues to the marketplace, by letting those citizens who believe that they need a Converter apply for a coupon to get one…” This is indeed a novel reading of Adam Smith. Everyone who wants a subsidy should get one. It’s a variant of the invisible hand: outstretched and palm up.

But the retail stores didn’t stop there. They also argued that they should be directly compensated for accepting converter box coupons. The “investments, expenses, and risks,” they maintained, should not be placed “solely on the backs of retail vendors who come forward to participate in this program.”

Let’s recap. The DTV program will cause millions of consumers to drive over to their local Circuit City or Best Buy or Wal-Mart, coupon in hand, to buy converter boxes. The stores can charge whatever they want for these boxes. They will also be reimbursed by the government for the face value of the coupons. A fair number of these consumers–once in the able hands of the store sales staff, will no doubt end up buying brand-new digital televisions from the retailer instead of a puny converter box. And the stores want to be paid for the burden of handling all this additional business?

Nice try. But the argument is utter nonsense. The retail industry lobbyists should be congratulated for their creativity–and perhaps nominated for some lobbying chutzpah award. And then sent away empty-handed.

More bad news for Sen. Steven’s struggling telecom bill this week, as the Congressional Budget Office toted up the price tag for the 200+ page measure: $5.2 billion over the next ten years. That’s worth saying again. $5.2 billion. That’s billion. With a “b”.

Most of the cost comes from extending communications subsidies to broadband. CBO pegs the cost of the proposed new “Broadband Service Fund” at nearly $4.5 billion. Other provisions–such as permanently exempting the Universal Service Fund from the Anti-deficiency Act (allowing grants to exceed fund revenue)–expansion of rural health care spending, among others–make up the rest of the new spending. (Among the others are, presumably, the provision expanding subsidies to “States that are comprised entirely of islands”. See this post.)

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Are you good at geography? If so, you may enjoy the small geography quiz buried deep inside of the telecommunications bill now pending in the U.S. Senate. Hidden on page 121 is a paragraph directing the FCC to expand universal service payments to “insular areas, including any insular area that is a State comprised entirely of islands…”

Can you name all the states that are comprised entirely of islands? No, Rhode Island isn’t one of them. As it turns out, the list of states covered by this provision is quite short:

1. Hawaii.

And, by total coincidence, a senator from that state–Daniel Inouye–is the co-chairman of the Senate Commerce Committee–which wrote the bill.

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Hypocrisy?

by on August 13, 2006 · 4 comments

Dan Gillmor calls out libertarian exec TJ Rodgers for his “hypocrisy” in entering the solar power business, a business that’s heavily subsidized by the government. Supposedly it’s “phony libertarianism” to rail against big government while participating in an industry that benefits from government largess. That doesn’t seem right to me. As the article puts it:

The solar-cell industry is reliant upon government subsidies, to the consternation of Mr. Rodgers, an outspoken libertarian.

“The culture that got built is what I call a grant culture,” he said. “They’re all pitching to the U.S. government, looking for funding.”

Such criticism aside, the subsidies are in place, both in the United States and Europe, and Mr. Rodgers is ideally positioned to capitalize on the government support he has long railed against. “I can make a good profit for my shareholders,” he said, “and provide a lot of good eco-stuff to the world as well.”

The paradox is that Mr. Rodgers, 58, who has long been a free-market iconoclast, even by the tough-guy standards of the valley’s chip industry, may end up striking pay dirt by moving from the cutthroat world of computer processing power to the more sensitive realm of solar power.

It doesn’t mention whether his company is getting subsidies directly from the government, or whether the adoption of solar power is merely being driven by subsidies to his customers. If it’s the latter, I don’t really see how that’s hypocrisy. Solar power is a perfectly legitimate business, which would exist (albeit in somewhat smaller form) in the absence of government subsidies. As long as Rodgers isn’t himself actively pursuing government handouts, I don’t see why he should be expected to avoid the sector entirely merely because some of his customers are getting them.

More to the point, the long-run success of the solar power industry will be driven by the underlying economics of the energy market, not government handouts. If the cost of solar panels drop to the point where they become an economical alternative to the grid, (or the price of other energy sources continues to rise), there will suddenly be a huge market for solar panels. The government handouts obviously don’t hurt, but they won’t be what makes or breaks the effort. Libertarians have as much right to compete for that market as anyone else.

Remember the digital TV subsidy? Last year, as part of the price for establishing a firm date for broadcasters to return their old (now) analog frequencies by 2009, making them available for new uses, Congress set up a program to subsidize converter boxes for those that don’t already have digital TV sets. More precisely, it ordered the Department of Commerce to set one up. It has now started that process–proposing rules on exactly who will will get money and how.

The total cost authorized for the program was $990 million–with an automatic extension up to $1.5 billion if Commerce so requests. That’s much less than the $3 billion at one time being considered by Congress, but still real money.

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Many years ago, I largely quit following developments on the “universal service” front. It was just too damn demoralizing. After studying the system for many years, I came to the conclusion that the Universal Service Fund (USF) – – and the entire universal service regulatory process – – was one of the most unfair, illogical, counter-productive, regressive, anti-technology programs EVER created in American history, And yet, no one in government seemed to be willing to do anything to fix it. Matter of fact, they actually decided to expand it in recent years with the creation of the E-Rate (or “Gore Tax”) program. And they brought cellular and VoIP into the system as well. Absolutely insane.

I was reminded of that again today when I received a new report from communications guru Thomas Hazlett, Professor of Law & Economics and Director of the Information Economy Project at George Mason University. Hazlett has just penned a devastating critique of the universal service system in which he asks: “What Does $7 Billion Buy?” Answer: not much. Let me just quote from his executive summary here and then encourage you to go read the entire study for more miserable details about this horrendously inefficient government program:

“The ‘universal service’ regime ostensibly extends local phone service to consumers who could not otherwise afford it. To achieve this goal, some $7 billion annually is raised – – up from less than $4 billion in 1998 – – by taxing telecommunications users. Yet, benefits are largely distributed to shareholders of rural telephone companies, not consumers, and fail–on net–to extend network access. Rather, the incentives created by these subsidies encourage widespread inefficiency and block adoption of advanced technologies – – such as wireless, satellite, and Internet-based services – – that could provide superior voice and data links at a fraction of the cost of traditional fixed-line networks. Ironically, subsidy payments are rising even as fixed-line phone subscribership falls, and as the emergence of competitive wireless and broadband networks make traditional universal service concepts obsolete. Unless policies are reformed to reflect current market realities, tax increases will continue to undermine the very goals ‘universal service’ is said to advance.”

And, if you’re a real glutton for punishment and want even more grim details about the system, check out this recent report by PFF’s “DACA” working group on universal service reform. File all this under: “The Unintended Consequences of Misguided Government Regulation.”

Once again, some comic relief from France. A year ago, I wrote about French efforts to create a French search engine for the Internet, a kind of Gaullist Google. The idea, presumably, was to create a search tool consistent with French rather than Anglo-Saxon values. (And I thought Google just let people find what they are looking for.)

It all sounded like a bad joke. But, according to a a report today in MIT’s Technology Review, the French government is still serious about the project, and last week made a grant to Thomson, the French electronics manufacturer, to develop the product. The 90 million Euro grant was one of many given to big French companies for high-tech products.

“It is essential,” said French president Jacques Chirac in announcing the grants, “for us to rediscover a taste for risk and pride in innovation.” But he has certainly chosen an odd way to achieve that–government grants to large corporations. Meanwhile, some observers noted, France’s (less politically powerful) start-ups remain starved of capital.

It’s a good sign that France’s leaders are asking why Europe has yet to produce an infotech success story like Google,” the article quotes French IT consultant Alexis Mons saying. But, he says, the top-down approach is the wrong one. As he puts it: “There is no innovation iin innovation management in Europe.”

The bottom line, according to Bernard Buisson, coauthor of a recent book on innovation: “Instead of enabling the creation of new companies, the [French] state is going to waste several billion euros in large projects that won’t deliver.”

The French government wasting money on large projects that won’t deliver? Stop the presses. We have news here.

Somehow, I suspect Google isn’t worried.

(Oh, by the way, the title of this post was translated into French by, of course, Google’s translator tool.)

Joe at Techdirt weighs in on our alleged need for a “Manhattan project” on alternative energy:

Charles Cooper of News.com is upset that on President Bush’s recent trip to Silicon Valley, he didn’t speak with more substance on how technology could help ease our energy problems. Specifically, Cooper would have liked to see Bush call for a new Manhattan Project, this time focusing on alternative energy. First of all, he should know that you can never get much more than rhetoric from a politician. Second, we don’t need another Manhattan Project–the market is already taking care of that. VCs are pouring record amounts into energy technology, none of which required the President’s approval. There’s even some reason to believe there’s overinvestment in new technology, which could be bad for VCs, but great for the economy on the whole. While centrally planned projects might be appropriate for military applications, a pending proposal to provide prize money for hydrogen breakthroughs is much more intriguing. As in other areas, getting people to compete for prizes and profits is a better solution than just throwing a bunch of money at them.

An even broader point is that it’s not even clear what the goal of a “Manhattan project” would be. With the original Manhattan project, we had a very clear goal: blow stuff up by splitting the atom. But it’s likely that improving energy efficiency will take a lot of small technological advances that will gradually reduce our energy consumption and/or increase our energy supply. We have lots of renewable energy sources already, the problem is that none of them are economical. So the most important constraints are economic, not scientific or technological. Those aren’t the kinds of problems you can solve by putting a lot of smart people in a room.

I think you’d have the same kind of problem with a hydrogen prize. The criteria necessary to make hydrogen technology viable are complex, and it’s not even obvious that hydrogen is going to be a viable technology in the first place. Add in the likelihood of special interest lobbying, and what you’re more likely to do is to give a whole bunch of money to some company that develops a technology that meets the specs but isn’t actually useful for anything.

And in any event, if hydrogen technology is a viable alternative to fossil fuels, there’s already a massive pot of gold called “profit” for whoever figures it out, so it’s not like there’s a need for additional incentives.