Market Processes and Regulatory Processes

by on October 25, 2007 · 6 comments

More good stuff from Ed Felten on the Comcast dispute:

Pretend that you’re the net neutrality czar, with authority to punish ISPs for harmful interference with neutrality, and you have to decide whether to punish Comcast. You’re suspicious of Comcast, because you can see their incentive to bolster their cable-TV monopoly power, and because their actions don’t look like a good match for the legitimate network management goals that they claim motivate their behavior. But networks are complicated, and there are many things you don’t know about what’s happening inside Comcast’s network, so you can’t be sure they’re just trying to undermine BitTorrent. And of course it’s possible that they have mixed motives, needing to manage their network but choosing a method that had the extra bonus feature of hurting BitTorrent. You can ask them to justify their actions, but you can expect to get a lawyerly, self-serving answer, and to expend great effort separating truth from spin in that answer. Are you confident that you, as net neutrality czar, would make the right decision? Are you confident that your successor as net neutrality czar, who would be chosen by the usual political process, would also make the right decision? Even without a regulatory czar, wheels are turning to punish Comcast for what they’ve done. Customers are unhappy and are putting pressure on Comcast. If they deceived their customers, they’ll face lawsuits. We don’t know yet how things will come out, but it seems likely Comcast will regret their actions, and especially their lack of transparency.

That final point is important. The alternative we face is not regulation or letting companies do whatever they want. The alternative is regulation vs. a variety of other mechanisms—bad PR, lawsuits, customer defections—that can punish Comcast for bad behavior.

But the market process, like the regulatory process, is a process, and processes take time. In an otherwise excellent piece on Comcast’s dubious explanations for its routing policies, my Ars colleague Eric Bangeman included the a sub-heading “when the market can’t sort things out.” It’s seems to be true that the market hasn’t set things straight yet. But that shouldn’t surprise us. It’s been barely a week since the story broke in the mainstream media.

After all, imagine if the shoe were on the other foot: supposed we had passed Snowe-Dorgan last year and network neutrality were the law of the land. How would the FCC have reacted? Well, Snowe-Dorgan envisions a complaint process with a 90-day response period. So somebody would have had to have filed a complaint (it’s possible this could have been done in late August when the story first hit the tech press), and then the FCC would have needed to investigate and hand down a ruling. That ruling may or may not have gone against Comcast, and if it did go against Comcast it likely would have been challenged in court, delaying compliance by months if not years. So it’s hardly an indictment of the market process that it hasn’t magically made Comcast behave itself after barely a week of negative publicity. If Comcast emerges unscathed in a few months (i.e. few customer defections, no successful lawsuits, and no significant changes in policy) then the “market failure” narrative will be a lot more compelling.

  • http://sethf.com/ Seth Finkelstein

    Actually, it’s sort of funny, the simple market incentives are the other way: Server-running bandwidth hogs are money-losing customers for home service. Naively, every cable company in existence would have an incentive to get rid of them.

    The world’s a bit more complex, as it’s possible to upgrade them to higher service level – but that runs right into tiering service issue.

  • http://sethf.com/ Seth Finkelstein

    Actually, it’s sort of funny, the simple market incentives are the other way: Server-running bandwidth hogs are money-losing customers for home service. Naively, every cable company in existence would have an incentive to get rid of them.

    The world’s a bit more complex, as it’s possible to upgrade them to higher service level – but that runs right into tiering service issue.

  • http://www2.blogger.com/profile/14380731108416527657 Steve R.

    Ed wrote: “but writing and enforcing neutrality regulation is harder than it looks”, which is quite true. Nevertheless, it is also quite true that invoking the magic wand of market forces to correct bad corporate practices is also much harder than it looks.

    For example, the Sony rootkit debacle was only discovered by accident (by a highly trained computer expert) after being in use for around a year. Based on what I have been reading, Comcast is only one of many companies that have been “caught”. If you expose many companies doing bad stuff on a consistent bases, one would logically assume (especially if you are a Vulcan) that something is not working correctly. However, when Verizon was “caught” Sonia Arrison was quick to write “Verizon switch is proof that Net neutrality legislation is not needed” (Sept. 28, 2007). Based on this psychedelic logic it would seem that the more criminals you catch, the less you need in the way of laws. And by the way lets not demand that they change their criminal behavior since the free market by some mysterious mechanism will. The simple fact that the corporate dishonor role continues to expand seems to be a demonstration (if you believe in hard evidence) that the market forces cannot be relied on to improve corporate behavior.

  • http://www2.blogger.com/profile/14380731108416527657 Steve R.

    Ed wrote: “but writing and enforcing neutrality regulation is harder than it looks”, which is quite true. Nevertheless, it is also quite true that invoking the magic wand of market forces to correct bad corporate practices is also much harder than it looks.

    For example, the Sony rootkit debacle was only discovered by accident (by a highly trained computer expert) after being in use for around a year. Based on what I have been reading, Comcast is only one of many companies that have been “caught”. If you expose many companies doing bad stuff on a consistent bases, one would logically assume (especially if you are a Vulcan) that something is not working correctly. However, when Verizon was “caught” Sonia Arrison was quick to write “Verizon switch is proof that Net neutrality legislation is not needed” (Sept. 28, 2007). Based on this psychedelic logic it would seem that the more criminals you catch, the less you need in the way of laws. And by the way lets not demand that they change their criminal behavior since the free market by some mysterious mechanism will. The simple fact that the corporate dishonor role continues to expand seems to be a demonstration (if you believe in hard evidence) that the market forces cannot be relied on to improve corporate behavior.

  • Matt S

    Let’s be clear about one thing, that lawsuits are not a market mechanism. They are a means of using government to enforce preferences.

    If nothing much happens as a result of this incident, that can be read as a valid market outcome as well — that customers don’t place much importance on such tempests in teapots. I suspect that 99% of customers value their Comcast service based on whether they can do email and YouTube, and what their monthly bill looks like.

    The PR argument is a valid market mechanism as well. I suspect this will prove to be the most potent, and that Comcast will quietly refine their policies to avoid these blowups.

  • Matt S

    Let’s be clear about one thing, that lawsuits are not a market mechanism. They are a means of using government to enforce preferences.



    If nothing much happens as a result of this incident, that can be read as a valid market outcome as well — that customers don’t place much importance on such tempests in teapots. I suspect that 99% of customers value their Comcast service based on whether they can do email and YouTube, and what their monthly bill looks like.



    The PR argument is a valid market mechanism as well. I suspect this will prove to be the most potent, and that Comcast will quietly refine their policies to avoid these blowups.

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