metrics – Technology Liberation Front https://techliberation.com Keeping politicians' hands off the Net & everything else related to technology Tue, 16 Aug 2022 18:18:55 +0000 en-US hourly 1 6772528 Event Video on Algorithmic Auditing and AI Impact Assessments https://techliberation.com/2022/07/13/event-video-on-algorithmic-auditing-and-ai-impact-assessments/ https://techliberation.com/2022/07/13/event-video-on-algorithmic-auditing-and-ai-impact-assessments/#comments Wed, 13 Jul 2022 18:10:03 +0000 https://techliberation.com/?p=77008

Upsides:

  • Audits and impact assessments can help ensure organizations live up their promises as it pertains to “baking in” ethical best practices (on issues like safety, security, privacy, and non-discrimination).
  • Audits and impact assessments are already utilized in other fields to address safety practices, financial accountability, labor practices and human rights issues, supply chain practices, and various environmental concerns.
  • Internal auditing / Institute of Internal Auditors (IIA) efforts could expand to include AI risks
  • Eventually, more and more organizations will expand their internal auditing efforts to incorporate AI risks because it makes good business sense to stay on top of these issues and avoid liability, negative publicity, or other customer backlash.
  • the International Association of Privacy Professionals (IAPP) trains and certifies privacy professionals through formal credentialing programs, supplemented by regular meetings, annual awards, and a variety of outreach and educational initiatives.
  • We should use similar model for AI and start by supplementing Chief Privacy Officers with Chief Ethical Officers.
  • This is how we formalize the ethical frameworks and best practices that have been formulated by various professional associations such as IEEE, ISO, ACM and others.
  • OECD — Framework for the Classification of AI Systems with the twin goals of helping “to develop a common framework for reporting about AI incidents that facilitates global consistency and interoperability in incident reporting,” and advancing “related work on mitigation, compliance and enforcement along the AI system lifecycle, including as it pertains to corporate governance.”
  • NIST — AI Risk Management Framework “to better manage risks to individuals, organizations, and society associated with artificial intelligence.”
  • These frameworks being developed through a consensus-driven, open, transparent, and collaborative process. Not through top-down regulation.
  • Many AI developers and business groups have endorsed the use of such audits and assessments. BSA|The Software Alliance has said that, “By establishing a process for personnel to document key design choices and their underlying rationale, impact assessments enable organizations that develop or deploy high-risk AI to identify and mitigate risks that can emerge throughout a system’s lifecycle.”
  • Developers can still be held accountable for violations of certain ethical norms and bast practices both through private and potentially even through formal sanctions by consumer protection agencies (Federal Trade Commission / comparable state offices / by state AGs).
  • EqualAI / WEF — “Badge Program for Responsible AI Governance”
  • field of algorithmic consulting continues to expand (ex: O’Neil Risk Consulting)

Downsides:

  • constitutes a harm or impact in any given context will often be a contentious matter.
  • Auditing algorithms is nothing like auditing an accounting ledger, where the numbers either add up or they don’t.
  • With algorithms there are no binary metrics that can quantify the correct amount of privacy, safety, or security in any given system.
  • E.U. AI act will be a disaster for AI innovation and investment
  • Proposed U.S. Algorithmic Accountability Act of 2022 would require that developers perform impact assessments and file them with the Federal Trade Commission. A new Bureau of Technology would be created inside the agency to oversee the process.
  • If enforced through a rigid regulatory regime and another federal bureaucracy, compliance with algorithmic auditing mandates would likely become a convoluted, time-consuming bureaucratic process. That would likely slow the pace of AI development significantly.
  • Academic literature on AI auditing / impact assessment ignores potential costs; Mandatory auditing and assessments are treated as a sort of frictionless nirvana when we already know that such a process would entire significant costs.
  • Some AI scholars suggest that NEPA should be model for AI impact assessments / audits.
  • NEPA assessments were initially quite short (sometimes less than 10 pages), but today the average length of these statements is more than 600 pages and include appendices that average over 1,000 pages on top of that.
  • NEPA assessments take an average of 4.5 years to complete and that, between 2010 and 2017, there were four assessments that took at least 17 years to complete.
  • Many important public projects never get done or take far too long to complete at considerably higher expenditure than originally predicted.
  • would create a number of veto points that opponents of AI could use to stop much progress in the field. This is the “vetocracy” problem.
  • We cannot wait years or even months for bureaucracies to eventually getting around to formally signing off on audits or assessments, many of which would be obsolete before they were even done.
  • “global innovation arbitrage” problem would kick in: Innovators and investors increasingly relocate to the jurisdictions where they are treated most hospitably.
  • Both parties already accuse digital technology companies of manipulating their algorithms to censor their views.
  • Whichever party is in power at any given time could use the process to politicize terms like “safety,” “security,” and “non-discrimination” to nudge or even force private AI developers to alter their algorithms to satisfy the desires of partisan politicians or bureaucrats.
  • FCC abused its ambiguous authority to regulate “in the public interest” and indirectly censor broadcasters through intimidation via jawboning tactics and other “agency threats.” or “regulation by raised eyebrow”
  • There are potentially profound First Amendment issues in play with the regulation of algorithms that have not been explored here but which could become a major part of AI regulatory efforts going forward.

Summary:

  • Auditing and impact assessments can be a part of a more decentralized, polycentric governance framework.
  • Even in the absence of any sort of hard law mandates, algorithmic auditing and impact reviews represent an important way to encourage responsible AI development.
  • But we should be careful about mandating such things due to the many unanticipated cost and consequences of converting this into a top-down, bureaucratic regulatory regime.
  • The process should evolve gradually and organically, as it has in many other fields and sectors.
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3 Questions about Progress: The Profectus Progress Roundtable https://techliberation.com/2022/06/15/3-questions-about-the-progress-the-profectus-progress-roundtable/ https://techliberation.com/2022/06/15/3-questions-about-the-progress-the-profectus-progress-roundtable/#respond Wed, 15 Jun 2022 17:10:56 +0000 https://techliberation.com/?p=77002

Profectus is an excellent new online magazine featuring essays and interviews on the intersection of academic literature, public policy, civilizational progress, and human flourishing. The Spring 2022 edition of the magazine features a “Progress Roundtable” in which six different scholars were asked to contribute their thoughts on three general questions:
  1. What is progress?
  2. What are the most significant barriers holding back further progress?
  3. If those challenges can be overcome, what does the world look like in 50 years?

I was honored to be asked by Clay Routledge to contribute answers to those questions alongside others, including: Steven Pinker (Harvard University), Jason Crawford (Roots of Progress), Matt Clancy (Institute for Progress), Marian Tupy (Human​Progress​.org), James Pethokoukis (AEI). I encourage you to jump over the roundtable and read all their excellent responses. I’ve included my answers down below:

What is progress?

Progress is the advancement of human health, happiness, and general well-being. Measures of well-being can be challenging, however, so we should consider a broad range of metrics, including: life expectancy, infant mortality, poverty measures, energy production/consumption, GDP, productivity, agricultural yields/nourishment, and access to various important goods, services, and conveniences. While each of these metrics may have limitations, taken together, they stand for something meaningful that represents a rough proxy for progress.

But we should always remember what progress means at a deeper level for every individual. Innovation and economic growth are important because they allow us to live lives of our own choosing and enjoy the fruits of a prosperous, pluralistic society.  Progress “is not just bigger piles of money,” as Hans Rosling once noted. “The ultimate goal is to have the freedom to do what we want.”  Accordingly, we should aim to broaden the range of opportunities available to all people to help them flourish.

What are the most significant barriers holding back further progress?

The most significant threat to continued progress is the risk of stagnation accompanying efforts to protect the status quo. As Virginia Postrel taught us in her wonderful book The Future & Its Enemies, we should reject stasis-minded thinking and instead shoot for a world of dynamism, which cherishes and protects the freedom to think and act differently.

Progress hinges upon the growth of knowledge. Knowledge comes from experience, and the most important experiences involve trial-and-error learning. Public attitudes and policies that restrict people and ideas from intermingling freely are a recipe for intellectual, social, and economic stagnation. Accordingly, when we consider public policies toward progress, we should first seek to identify and remove legal and regulatory impediments that limit risk-taking, entrepreneurialism, and technological innovation. As science writer Matt Ridley provocatively puts it, to unlock more growth and prosperity, we must first remove obstacles to “ideas having sex.”

The free movement of people and capital is essential to this process. Openness to immigration is the easiest way for a nation to expand its potential for innovation and growth. But domestic labor skills and mobility are equally important. For entrepreneurs and workers, we need to reframe the battle for progress as “the freedom to innovate” and “the right to earn a living.”

Unfortunately, many barriers exist to advancing those goals, like occupational licensing rules and permitting processes, cronyist industrial protectionist schemes, inefficient tax schemes, and many other layers of regulatory red tape. Reforming or eliminating such rules is crucial for broadening opportunities.

Finally, we need to address cultural barriers to progress. Technology and entrepreneurs often get a bad rap in the media and popular culture. Fear and pessimism dominate their narratives. We must do a better job communicating the benefits of openness to change and give people more reasons to be optimistic about a dynamic future.

If those challenges can be overcome, what does the world look like in 50 years?

I agree with Yogi Berra that “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” Nonetheless, history shows we can achieve remarkable things when we get the prerequisites for progress right and let people tap into their inherent inquisitiveness and inventiveness. Moving the needle on innovation and growth even just a little will yield compounding returns to future generations. But we should dare to dream bigger and think what progress means for each person today and in the future.

A pro-progress agenda will help us lead longer lives and significantly expand our capabilities because that is what people have always desired most. Accordingly, I believe the most significant advance of the next 50 years will be a radical increase in life expectancy and dramatic improvements in our physical and mental capabilities while we are alive.

Today’s tech critics often claim that technological innovation somehow undermines our humanity. They couldn’t be more wrong. There are few things more human than acts of invention. When we take steps to address practical human needs and wants, we enrich our lives and the lives of countless others. The future will be wonderful, so long as we are free to make it so.

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Media Metrics: The Report https://techliberation.com/2008/07/15/media-metrics-the-report/ https://techliberation.com/2008/07/15/media-metrics-the-report/#comments Tue, 15 Jul 2008 18:30:50 +0000 http://techliberation.com/?p=11089

MM front cover Faithful readers will recall that, several months ago, I penned a 7-part “Media Metrics” series that took a hard look at the health of the media marketplace. Today, the Progress & Freedom Foundation is releasing a greatly expanded version of these essays that I have put together with my PFF colleague Grant Eskelsen. In this 100-page special report, “Media Metrics: The True State of the Modern Media Marketplace,” we begin by noting that heated debates about the state of the media marketplace continue to rage in Washington, and opinions seem to range from grim to outright apocalyptic. As we note on pg. 1:

Many people—including a large number of legislators and regulators—argue that America’s media marketplace is in a miserable state. Some claim that citizens lack choice in media outlets and that options are just as scarce as ever. Others believe that media “localism” is dead or that many groups or niches go underserved because of a lack of true “diversity” in media. Others argue that the market is hopelessly over-concentrated in the hands of a few evil media barons who are hell-bent on force-feeding us corporate propaganda. And still others say that the quality of news and entertainment in our society has deteriorated because of a combination of all of the above. It all sounds quite troubling, but is any of it true?

After taking an objective look at the true state of America’s media marketplace, we conclude that such pessimism is unwarranted. Indeed, a careful review of the facts reveals that—contrary to what those media critics suggest—we have more media choice, more media competition, and more media diversity than ever before. Indeed, to the extent there was ever a “golden age” of media in America, we are living in it today. The media sky has never been brighter and it is getting brighter with each passing year. We come to this conclusion by looking beyond the rhetoric that has for too long governed debates about media in American and providing a comprehensive look at a variety of media sectors such as audio, video, print and online media. Our survey contains over 70 charts and exhibits illustrating facts and figures on such diverse topics as advertising revenue, company market share, audience trends, and areas of growth in the sector. We will also aim to periodically updated the report to reflect the rapidly evolving media industry.

We encourage readers to provider input about how to improve and expand the report going forward in an attempt to refine and improve the metrics. And we look forward to future debates on this subject–debates that we hope will be guided by facts instead of fanaticism and by evidence instead of emotion. The hyperbolic rhetoric, shameless fear-mongering, and unsubstantiated claims that have driven policy debates in recent years have no foundation in reality and should be rejected as the debate over media policy continues.

This and future installments of “Media Metrics: The True State of the Modern Media Marketplace” will be available on the PFF website at www.pff.org/mediametrics. I have also embedded the entire document below as a Scribd file so that those interested in the topic can peruse the report immediately.

http://documents.scribd.com/ScribdViewer.swf?document_id=3955314&access_key=key-pb8y9dwlnhy4gzw3xn7&page=&version=1&auto_size=true ]]>
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