Another digital transition? Cuban says yes
The always provocative Mark Cuban has an interesting post on his blog today. He writes:
There is a dirty little secret in the cable industry. Its being kept secret not by the cable distributors, but by the big cable networks. End this practice and the United States goes from being 3rd world by international broadband standards, to top of the charts and exemplary. …
What is the dirty little secret ?
That your cable company still delivers basic cable networks in analog. Why is this such an important issue ? Because each of those cable networks takes up 6mhz. That translates into about 38mbs per second. Thats 38mbs PER NETWORK. …
If we want to truly change the course of broadband in this country, the solution is simple. Just as we had an analog shutdown date for over the air TV signals, we need the same resolution for analog delivered cable networks.
Obviously this would entail a government mandate to an industry, which we’re all biased against. If it really were so easy, I would expect to see the cable industry make the move on its own—if nothing else to respond to FIOS. But all that aside, my question to the cable-savvy folks I know read this blog is this: how true is Cuban’s claim? How much “spectrum in a tube” is really potentially available? How difficult would it be to make a digital transition in cable?
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The larger question, which Cuban should be aware of, is the inadequacy of the cable plant for carrying HDTV. At some point, cable will have to change to a switched, on-demand model for HDTV, a which point there will be a lot more bandwidth available for Internet.
Cuban has an agenda, to get all of his HDNet channels carried on every cable and satellite package as standard channels. He had his movie channel bumped to a premium tier by DirecTV recently, and it scalded his posterior.
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Cable companies generally send all the local broadcast channels via QAM right now. The more enlightened companies send their basic cable tier unencrypted as well. If there was a good conditional-access-module specification -- the sort of thing CableCard should have been, but is not -- then anyone would be able to call up their cable company, read off the serial number of their device, and get it authorized to decrypt all the channels that they pay for.
Most cablecos are more interested in additional revenue through any possible means than customer satisfaction, though.
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Clearly the end of analog transmission isn't far off. Cable systems need more bandwidth and analog is a huge hog, although thanks to switched digital video, MPEG4, and DOCSIS 3.0 I expect the cable companies to hold on to analog in most markets for the time being.
My previous DVR, the Comcast 3416, couldn't even work with analog. Every channel, including 2-100, were received via digital simulcast. In Chicago, nearly every analog transmission has gone digital without any huge problems.
The idea that we need government to intervene is silly. Comcast cares about making money, and if it were net profitable to anger analog subscribers in order to draw in customers yearning for massive HD packages, Comcast would have ended analog already. So when the time comes, analog will exit the scene, but that time has not come just yet in most markets.
Now if only Comcast would stop packing 3 HD channels per 38.8Mbps QAM.
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