Copyright in 2027: A Letter from the Future

by on December 5, 2007 · 12 comments

Dear Reader,

Hello from 2027! The future has been going great. I really enjoy it, and I think you’ll like it here, too.

Things have improved a lot since 2007. We’ve generally grown more healthy, wealthy, free, and (I daresay) happy. There remain rough spots, of course: Climate regulation, zombie flu, the still-unfinished meteorite prevention belt . . . and the future didn’t work out too well for everyone. Some wonderful people didn’t make it, sad to say, while others remain in suspension. As they say in aircar ads, “your mileage may vary. ” All in all, though, the future remains very bright.

I remember back when I lived in 2007. I looked forward to the future, and foresaw pretty good stuff. That prediction turned out ok, but I have to admit that I missed a lot of details! Who would have guessed the 2015 Constitutional Convention? That one really caught me by surprise.


I remember back when I lived in 2007. I looked forward to the future, and foresaw pretty good stuff. That prediction turned out ok, but I have to admit that I missed a lot of details! Who would have guessed the 2015 Constitutional Convention? That one really caught me by surprise.

Back in your day, I used to think and write a lot about copyright policy. I fondly recall long hours at my “beach office”—a rugged old picnic table nestled in a grove of laurel sumac, high on a bluff above one of my favorite surf breaks. Looking back, I guess I had some pretty nutty ideas. None of the legislation I proposed in my book, Intellectual Privilege: Copyright, Common Law, and the Common Good, made it into law, for instance. (I can’t say that surprised me, though.)

Copyright of a sort still exists, but it doesn’t seem to matter as much as it used to. I still read about lawsuits getting filed, once and a while, but they almost always settle. Thanks to a decision from your era—eBay v. MercExchange—courts hardly ever issue copyright injunctions, anymore. In that case, the U.S. Supreme Court held that the same equitable standards generally applicable in civil cases apply likewise to patent infringement claims. Courts thereafter stopped enjoining patent infringement as a matter of course. Thanks to a logical extension of eBay, that same rule has long also applied to copyright infringement claims.

Pirates still face injunctions and stiff fines for fraudulently selling unauthorized copies as the real thing. The rest of us, though, largely ignore copyright. We have lots of access to expressive works, and we use them pretty much as we like. Granted, we sometimes buy early access to fresh works. A new book or song doesn’t cost much, though. It has to compete, after all, with the vast amount of authorship each of can tap just by jacking into the Hive.

These days, our good old common law rights, joined with new technologies, “promote the general welfare” and “the progress of science and useful arts” (to quote version 1.0 of the U.S. Constitution). Property and tort law protect authors’ voices, pens, and presses during the creation and distribution of expressive works. “Smart contracts” (something that Nick Szabo predicted in the 1990s), allow authors and publishers to exercise some control over what happens to publicly-distributed works.

Common law does not protect works of authorship perfectly, but it protects them well enough. New releases get decoded pretty quickly, and eventually fall out of privity and into the public domain. Most authors and publishers (in many cases, thanks to plummeting costs, the same party) thus release their works in as many open formats as they can. Recompense comes in the form of gifts and friends.

That might not sound like a very lucrative scheme, to you, but we have plenty (some say too many) of super-stars who earn (and usually waste) huge sums of money entertaining the masses. They owe some of their success to their ridiculous hair, granted, but even I like Spectacle’s latest hit song. Even though they made a fair penny selling encrypted copies of it, they will make much, much more touring. I hear that they sold over 78,000 front row tickets to their google-res show in 3rd Life. With over 10 billion very wired people on Earth, and over 6 billion more in near space, it doesn’t take a very big market share for an author to make very big profits.

But listen to me running on and on, like a doddering old fool! I’m sorry if I’ve bored you. It’s been a while since I thought about copyright policy, and I’ve enjoyed reminiscing. I really should get back to my current project, though: Double-checking the latest ranking of governing services that A.U. News & Worlds Report publishes annually. (It puzzles me that the New Victorians didn’t score higher. Just between you and me, I think that MosCorp might have under-reported its cross-jurisdiction restitution settlements.)

All in all, I think you will really like 2027. Of course, we have hard-working folks like you to thank for creating the wonderful world we now live in. Thank you very much for safeguarding the common law. The collective wisdom of its time-tested rules continues to serve us well. By defending your rights to person, property, and promise, you protected ours, too. Keep up the good work!

Looking forward to seeing you in the future,

Tom W. Bell

[NB: The above text comes from chapter 10 of my draft book, Intellectual Privilege: Copyright, Common Law, and the Common Good. You can find a PDF here. I wrote it following commentor Steve R.'s call for examples of how common law rights might protect expressive works. I welcome your comments, too.]

[Crossposted to Intellectual Privilege and Agoraphilia]

  • Adam Thierer

    “Recompense comes in the form of gifts and friends.”

    Tom… I assume you provide some details about how this model will work in the book. I’d like to see you next post provide those details if you have worked them out.

    As you know, this model was used with mixed success in the days of grants from the crown for works of art / culture.

  • Adam Thierer

    “Recompense comes in the form of gifts and friends.”

    Tom… I assume you provide some details about how this model will work in the book. I’d like to see you next post provide those details if you have worked them out.

    As you know, this model was used with mixed success in the days of grants from the crown for works of art / culture.

  • http://www.tomwbell.com Tom W. Bell

    Adam,

    Chapter 9 will probably discuss why gifts and non-monetary incentives will, with population growth and holding all else equal, increasingly suffice to stimulate authorship. But I doubt I’ll offer a great many details, largely because anybody interested in copyright policy already knows about gifts, tips, commissioned works, the allure of social status, and so forth. Who am I to try to predict the details of what entrepreneurs will come up with, anyhow?

  • http://www.tomwbell.com Tom W. Bell

    Adam,

    Chapter 9 will probably discuss why gifts and non-monetary incentives will, with population growth and holding all else equal, increasingly suffice to stimulate authorship. But I doubt I’ll offer a great many details, largely because anybody interested in copyright policy already knows about gifts, tips, commissioned works, the allure of social status, and so forth. Who am I to try to predict the details of what entrepreneurs will come up with, anyhow?

  • http://enigmafoundry.wordpress.com/ enigma_foundry

    Who would have guessed the 2015 Constitutional Convention? That one really caught me by surprise.

    No one was really surprised by that though, as there were several events that lead up to the convention, as after

    1. the Pirate Party of Sweden won a landslide election in 2012,
    2. the European Constitution later that same week included legal protections for contributors to GPL code,
    3. the EU’s IT sector eclipsed Americas in 2014,
    4. the entire catalog of all known digital recordings was made available on P2P networks for download (which took about 35 seconds),
    5. Microsoft’s bankruptcy in 2014,

    all understood that traditional ways of thinking about IP were hurting the US economy.

  • http://enigmafoundry.wordpress.com eee_eff

    Who would have guessed the 2015 Constitutional Convention? That one really caught me by surprise.

    No one was really surprised by that though, as there were several events that lead up to the convention, as after

    1. the Pirate Party of Sweden won a landslide election in 2012,
    2. the European Constitution later that same week included legal protections for contributors to GPL code,
    3. the EU’s IT sector eclipsed Americas in 2014,
    4. the entire catalog of all known digital recordings was made available on P2P networks for download (which took about 35 seconds),
    5. Microsoft’s bankruptcy in 2014,

    all understood that traditional ways of thinking about IP were hurting the US economy.

  • Tom W. Bell

    Enigman,

    Hmm. Well, you revisionists always manage to cook up supposed causation chains that make the 2015 ConCon look inevitable in retrospect. And, of course, everybody knew something up once Pres. Barnett vetoed his 189th bill. All I’m saying is that nobody was talking about such things back in, oh, 2007.

  • Tom W. Bell

    Enigman,

    Hmm. Well, you revisionists always manage to cook up supposed causation chains that make the 2015 ConCon look inevitable in retrospect. And, of course, everybody knew something up once Pres. Barnett vetoed his 189th bill. All I’m saying is that nobody was talking about such things back in, oh, 2007.

  • Ben R.

    I like this. However the fourth paragraph is a repeat of the third.

  • Ben R.

    I like this. However the fourth paragraph is a repeat of the third.

  • Joel S. Hirschhorn

    It should be noted that the 2015 constitutional convention was a result of the courageous leadership of Friends of the Article V Convention at http://www.foavc.org.

  • Joel S. Hirschhorn

    It should be noted that the 2015 constitutional convention was a result of the courageous leadership of Friends of the Article V Convention at http://www.foavc.org.

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